SUNDAY, OCTOBER 4, 2026
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FORMATIVESPACES.COM

Ohio places Cincinnati Public Schools in fiscal caution, requiring deficit plan by Nov. 30

The state directive restricts Cincinnati Public Schools from counting pending levy revenue in its recovery plan, forcing the district to plot cuts to balance a projected $44.5 million shortfall. Failure could escalate to a state-appointed commission with power over the elected school board.

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Cincinnati, Ohio. Shown for location context; this is not a photograph of the events described. Photo: Paul Armstrong from Cincinnati, USA / Wikimedia Commons. CC BY 2.0. Resized for display; social preview adds branding.

The Ohio Department of Education and Workforce placed Cincinnati Public Schools in fiscal caution status after the district received both a deficit notice and a low-balance advisory on Sept. 2, 2026. The designation requires the district to submit a board-approved financial recovery plan by Nov. 30 that eliminates a projected $44.5 million budget deficit by fiscal year 2029, according to the state's notice.

$44.5MProjected budget deficit for Cincinnati Public Schools by fiscal year 2029 without new revenue, as stated in the Ohio Department of Education and Workforce's deficit notice. [2]

CPS Treasurer Mike Gustin told the board that cash on hand at the end of fiscal years stands at 25 to 30 days, compared to a sound-practice benchmark of roughly 60 days and an ideal level of about 90 days. The district's October 2025 five-year forecast shows cash balances declining from $59.7 million at the start of fiscal year 2026 to negative balances by fiscal year 2028 without new levy revenue, reaching a negative $65.5 million by fiscal year 2029 and negative $112.4 million by fiscal year 2030, according to the forecast document.

Levy vote and plan constraints

Cincinnati Public Schools has a five-year, 7-mill operating property tax levy on the Nov. 3, 2026 ballot. The district estimates it would generate roughly $66.3 million annually, or about $331.7 million over five years, and would cost $245 per $100,000 of home market value, according to the district's published information. Collections would begin in January 2027.

State rules, however, bar the district from counting any revenue from the pending levy in the fiscal recovery plan. Gustin told the board that the plan can only include items the board and administration have full control over. That means the plan, due Nov. 30, must rely on expenditure cuts alone. Board President Brandon Craig indicated to members that the options included in the submitted plan exist to satisfy the state's requirement and may differ from what the district ultimately does. The board is scheduled to approve the written plan at its Nov. 23 meeting, three weeks after Election Day.

If the levy does not pass, the district faces roughly $20 million in additional budget cuts on top of reductions already made, according to Gustin. Earlier in summer 2026, CPS cut more than 100 jobs district-wide and closed a projected $58 million budget gap for fiscal year 2027 through staffing reductions, five furlough days, a 10 percent cut in non-personnel spending, and limited one-time resources.

Oversight ladder

Under Ohio Revised Code 3316.031, fiscal caution requires a district to submit written proposals for correcting fiscal practices within roughly 60 days. If the director of the Ohio Department of Education and Workforce finds the proposals unreasonable, the director may recommend to the Auditor of State that fiscal watch be declared. Fiscal watch can then escalate to fiscal emergency if the district fails to submit an acceptable recovery plan within 120 days.

Ohio Revised Code 3316.03 states that fiscal emergency is triggered when a certified operating deficit exceeds 15 percent of the prior year's general fund revenue (or 10 to 15 percent with an Auditor of State determination of necessity) and no levy has been passed to eliminate it. A fiscal emergency creates a Financial Planning and Supervision Commission that may assume all or part of the board of education's powers, including decisions on personnel, curriculum, and legal matters, and can remove the superintendent or treasurer.

State track record

As of September 2026, two Ohio school districts are in fiscal emergency. Mount Healthy City School District, located in the same county as Cincinnati Public Schools, was declared in fiscal emergency on April 5, 2024, and Trimble Local School District in Athens County was declared on April 8, 2025. Both operate under state-appointed Financial Planning and Supervision Commissions.

The Mount Healthy commission adopted its fiscal year 2026 Financial Recovery Plan in January 2026, directing the district to eliminate projected deficit spending by fiscal year 2029 and repay solvency assistance obligations through fiscal year 2032. As of March 2026, the Auditor of State's office reported Mount Healthy's current-year deficit at negative $996,000, and a revised solvency assistance repayment schedule of $748,500 per year for four years, according to the Ohio Department of Education and Workforce annual report.

Two additional Ohio districts are in fiscal watch as of Sept. 1, 2026: Springfield LSD (Summit County, declared Oct. 9, 2020) and Barberton CSD (Summit County, declared March 6, 2026).

Historical outcomes

Since Ohio established its fiscal oversight process in 1996, 44 school districts have been declared in fiscal emergency and 42 have been released. The average time a district spends in fiscal emergency is about 3.5 years, depending on the district's cooperation with the commission and its ability to amend fiscal practices, according to the Ohio Department of Education and Workforce annual report.

The same annual report characterizes the graduated oversight system as effective, citing the release of 42 of 44 districts and the average 3.5-year emergency period. The report states this demonstrates the effectiveness of the current system and provides confidence to districts entering fiscal emergency. This is an agency self-assessment, not an independent evaluation.

Analysis

By the Formative Spaces Newsroom, written after the reporting above was filed.

Mount Healthy, in the same county, is two years into fiscal emergency and still projecting deficits.

Mount Healthy City Schools, also in Hamilton County, entered fiscal emergency in April 2024 with a $10.8 million operating deficit. Two years later, the state commission's March 2026 report shows the district still projecting deficit spending through FY2029. Mount Healthy's levy failed three times before passing on a fourth attempt in May 2026 by 94 votes. Under commission control, the district cut more than 100 staff and eliminated school transportation. Ohio's average fiscal emergency period is 3.5 years, and Mount Healthy has not yet reached solvency.

The Nov. 3 levy vote is the real decision point. The Nov. 30 plan is shaped by its outcome.

The recovery plan due Nov. 30 cannot count levy revenue, so it must show cuts. But the board votes on the plan Nov. 23, three weeks after Election Day. If the 7-mill levy passes and generates $66.3 million annually, those cuts likely stay on paper. Board President Brandon Craig said the submitted options exist to satisfy the state and may differ from what the district does. If the levy fails, the district faces $20 million in additional cuts beyond the $58 million already reduced this summer, and the plan becomes the working blueprint.

CPS is at the first of three escalation stages and can reach a state commission two ways.

The $44.5 million deficit is about 7 percent of CPS's $628 million general fund revenue, well below the 15 percent threshold that triggers fiscal emergency under Ohio law. But there is a second path: if fiscal caution escalates to fiscal watch, and the board fails to submit an acceptable plan within 120 days, the state can declare fiscal emergency regardless of the deficit's size. The five-year forecast shows cash balances going negative by FY2028 and reaching negative $112.4 million by FY2030 without new revenue, so the deficit could also grow toward the 15 percent line.

Sources

  1. WXIX (Fox 19). Cincinnati Public Schools could face state takeover if proposed levy fails View
  2. WVXU. CPS must submit a plan to the state to address projected $44M deficit View
  3. Cincinnati Public Schools. Information About the CPS Property-Tax Levy on the November 3, 2026 Ballot View
  4. Cincinnati Public Schools. Cincinnati City School District Five Year Forecast October 2025 View
  5. Ohio Department of Education and Workforce. Summary of Requirements for Fiscal Caution View
  6. Ohio Revised Code. Section 3316.03 - Ohio Revised Code View
  7. Ohio Department of Education and Workforce. School Districts in Fiscal Emergency — Annual Report 2026 View
  8. Ohio Department of Education and Workforce. District Fiscal Oversight Status as of September 1, 2026 View
  9. WCPO. Mount Healthy schools levy passes, saving programs and staff after years of budget struggles View
  10. Ohio Auditor of State. Press Release: Mount Healthy City School District declared in fiscal emergency View
  11. Cincinnati Public Schools. Annual Comprehensive Financial Report, Fiscal Year Ended June 30, 2025 View